AI AGENTIC PMO — Defense & Maritime Project Controls
Project: Skjold-Class MTB Upgrade (`PRJ-SKJOLD-LEP-2025`) Lead Controller: Frank Ellingsen ACTIVE STATUS: 2026-06 (Month 18/24)
Baseline Budget (BAC)
766.00M NOK
19 Work Packages Locked
Earned Value (EV)
639.27M NOK
83.46% Progress Earned
Actual Cost (AC)
672.27M NOK
87.76% Spend Incurred
Cost Performance (CPI)
0.951
CV: -32.99M NOK (Overrun)
Schedule Index (SPI)
0.835
SV: -126.73M NOK (Lag)
Forecast EAC / VAC
805.53M NOK
VAC: -39.53M NOK (-5.16%)
Active Risk EMV
12.40M NOK
4 Active / Open Risks

0. Program Project Charter & Strategic Governance Baseline

Performance Measurement Baseline (PMB), Scope Authorization, Milestone Timeline & Team RACI Matrix

1. Strategic Identity & Business Case

Program: Skjold-Class Corvette / Stealth Fast Patrol MTB Lifetime Extension & Upgrade Program (`PRJ-SKJOLD-LEP-2025`)

Business Case: Modernize hull structures, gas turbine machinery, 3D AESA radar, and tactical Combat Management Systems (CMS) to extend the operational life of the Royal Norwegian Navy MTB fleet through 2035+. Delivers >80% of modern combat capability at <25% of new build replacement cost.

Core Goals: Certified sprint speed >45 knots; Link 16/22 datalink & NSM integration; 100% NATO STANAG 4774 / NSM cyber accreditation; Zero LTI safety standard.
2. Program Governance & Financial Baseline
Project Manager & Controls Lead:Frank Ellingsen (Lead Project Controller)
Executive Sponsor:Royal Norwegian Navy / Forsvarsmateriell (FMA)
Prime Contractor:Umoe Mandal AS, Mandal, Norway
Baseline Budget ($BAC$):766,000,000 NOK
Approved Scope Growth ($VOR$):+17,650,000 NOK (+2.3%)
Adjusted Baseline ($BAC_{\text{adj}}$):783,650,000 NOK
Execution Timeline:2025-01-31 to 2026-12-31 (24 Months)
3. Gateway Milestone Schedule (M01 – M11)
Gate Deliverable Milestone Baseline Date Forecast Date Variance Responsible CAM Status
4. Work Breakdown Structure (WBS Level 1 Scope)
WBS Package Description Lead CAM BAC (NOK) Progress %
5. Team Leadership & RACI Matrix
Role Assigned Lead Organization RACI
Executive SponsorNaval Staff / FMARoyal Norwegian NavyAccountable
Lead Project ControllerFrank EllingsenUmoe Mandal ASResponsible
Composite Hull CAMHenrik DaleUmoe Mandal ASResponsible
Propulsion CAMAstrid SolbergUmoe Mandal ASResponsible
Combat Systems CAMSilje MoenUmoe Mandal ASResponsible
Electrical CAMMartin LieUmoe Mandal ASResponsible
Commissioning CAMTore HansenUmoe Mandal ASResponsible

Executive Project Brief — C-Level Steering Committee

Comprehensive status briefing, variance analysis, and key decisions for Naval Leadership

EVM Health Summary (Status Date: 2026-06-30)

The Skjold-Class Corvette Upgrade Program is at Month 18 of 24 (75.0% duration). Physical progress achieved is 83.46% ($EV = 639.27\text{M NOK}$) against a spend of 672.27M NOK.

  • Cost Performance: $CPI = 0.951$ ($CV = -32.99\text{M NOK}$). Overrun driven by resin curing cycle stabilization (WBS 2.0) and titanium silencer alloy re-engineering (WBS 4.0).
  • Schedule Velocity: $SPI = 0.835$ ($SV = -126.73\text{M NOK}$). Schedule compression required on WBS 6.0 Combat Systems due to OEM sensor mast delivery lag.
  • Forecast at Handover: Projected $EAC = 805.53\text{M NOK}$, requiring a **21.88M NOK** draw against management contingency reserve.
Required Steering Decisions & Recommendations
1. Contingency Budget Authorization: Formalize 21.88M NOK contingency release to cover EAC forecast against the 783.65M NOK adjusted baseline.
2. Fast-Track NSM Cybersecurity Audit: Deploy joint FMA-NSM certification team on-site by August 1 to prevent gating IAS automation network activation.
3. Reserve Sheltered SAT Corridor: Confirm Mannefjorden/Ryfylke naval testing zone for high-speed trials (>45kt) to protect the December 31 delivery milestone.

2. PMO & Project Controls EVM Deep-Dive

Cumulative Earned Value S-Curve (PV, EV, AC), Periodic Variances, and Direct Tufte Labeling

Cumulative Earned Value S-Curve (2025-01 to 2026-12) Red vertical line marks Accounting Status Date (2026-06)
Monthly Periodic EVM Ledger (NOK)
Period PV Cum (NOK) EV Cum (NOK) AC Cum (NOK) Cost Var (CV) Sched Var (SV) CPI SPI EAC (NOK)

6. Subcontractor & CAM Control Account Performance

WBS Level-1 Performance Breakdown, CAM Efficiency Indices, and Completion Projections

Control Account Manager (CAM) Scorecard
WBS Level 1 Work Package Responsible CAM BAC (NOK) EV Earned (NOK) AC Incurred (NOK) Cost Variance (CV) CPI SPI Progress % Forecast EAC Status

7. Risk & 5x5 Exposure Governance

Expected Monetary Value ($EMV = P \times I$), Schedule Delay Exposure, and Mitigation Actions

5x5 Risk Probability & Impact Heatmap
P5 (0.9)
P4 (0.7)
P3 (0.5)
RSK-001
P2 (0.3)
RSK-004
RSK-007
RSK-006
RSK-003
RSK-005
P1 (0.1)
RSK-002
I1 (<5M)
I2 (5-10M)
I3 (10-15M)
I4 (15-20M)
I5 (>20M)
Active Risk Exposure Breakdown (12.40M NOK EMV)
  • RSK-003 (CMS Sensor Bus Latency >50ms): $P=0.35$, Impact: 14.0M, EMV: 4.90M NOK, Delay: 35d. Joint taskforce with Kongsberg Defence.
  • RSK-005 (Waterjet Cavitation at Sprint Speeds >45kt): $P=0.30$, Impact: 15.0M, EMV: 4.50M NOK, Delay: 20d. Tunnel testing with SINTEF Ocean.
  • RSK-006 (NSM Cybersecurity Accreditation Audit): $P=0.25$, Impact: 6.0M, EMV: 1.50M NOK, Delay: 20d. Dedicated cyber consultant.
  • RSK-007 (Autumn Skagerrak Sea States SAT Trials): $P=0.30$, Impact: 5.0M, EMV: 1.50M NOK, Delay: 14d. Sheltered test corridor.
Complete Program Risk Register Log
Risk ID Category Description Prob Cost Impact (NOK) EMV (NOK) Delay (Days) Owner CAM Status

IFRS 15 / IAS 37 Financial Accounting & Balance Sheet Position

Revenue Recognition via Input Method, Contingent Provisions, and Cost Capitalization

IFRS Financial Position Reconciliation (as of 2026-06-30)
Financial Statement Metric Reported Amount (NOK) Amount (M NOK) Accounting Standard & Basis
Original Contract Baseline ($BAC$)766,000,000.00766.00MOriginal locked baseline (Dim_WBS.csv)
Approved Variable Consideration ($VOR$)+17,650,000.00+17.65MIFRS 15.56 — 5 approved scope amendments
Authorized Transaction Price ($BAC_{\text{adj}}$)783,650,000.00783.65MTotal contractual billing ceiling
Cumulative Recognized Revenue639,273,022.55639.27MIFRS 15 Input Method (83.46% PoC $\times$ 766M BAC)
Cumulative Actual Costs Incurred ($AC$)672,265,863.46672.27MInvoiced labor, materials & subcontractors
Contract WIP Loss Position (Deficit)-32,992,840.91-33.00MNet cost deficit absorbed in current period P&L
Approved Unbilled VOR Revenue+17,650,000.00+17.65MContract Asset (Unbilled revenue on approved changes)
IAS 37 Active Risk EMV Exposure12,400,000.0012.40MProbability-weighted active risk contingency
IAS 37 Onerous Contract Loss Provision21,883,212.0021.88MProvision for anticipated deficit ($EAC - BAC_{\text{adj}}$)
Estimate at Completion ($EAC$)805,533,212.00805.53MTotal forecast spend at naval fleet handover

9. Power BI Service Dashboard Pinning Hub & Alerts

Modular 1x1, 2x1 and 6x4 dashboard tiles optimized for 1-click pinning and data alert triggers

Configured Service Data Alerts
  • 🔔 Alert 1 (CPI Floor Breach): Trigger when $CPI < 0.95$ $\rightarrow$ Email to Frank Ellingsen & CFO.
  • 🔔 Alert 2 (EAC Contingency Breach): Trigger when $EAC > 805.0\text{M NOK}$ $\rightarrow$ High-priority email to Steering Committee.
  • 🔔 Alert 3 (Risk Exposure Alert): Trigger when $\text{Active EMV} > 12.0\text{M NOK}$ $\rightarrow$ Post to MS Teams channel.
  • 🔔 Alert 4 (Critical Schedule Delay): Trigger when $\text{Max Delay} > 30\text{ days}$ $\rightarrow$ Notify Yard Production Manager.
Power BI Desktop & Service Quick Launch

The report definitions in PMO_Model.Report/definition/ are 100% compliant with the Microsoft Fabric PBIR format.

Power BI Desktop: PMO_Model.pbip (16 Pages, 134 Visuals)
TMDL Model: 92 DAX Measures (100% Direct Lake BPA Compliant)

Data Contracts & Analytical Table Explorer

Audited raw CSV schemas and records loaded into memory via DuckDB engine

Table Inventory & Referential Integrity Status
Table Name Rows Columns Primary Key Target Relationship Integrity
Dim_WBS197Task_IDDimension (Work Breakdown)100% OK
Dim_Date246Date_KeyDimension (2025–2026 Calendar)100% OK
Fact_EVM_Periodic4567Fact_ID1:N to Dim_WBS & Dim_Date0 Orphans
Fact_Change_Request_VOR810VOR_ID1:N to Dim_WBS & Dim_Date0 Orphans
Fact_Risk_Register712Risk_ID1:N to Dim_WBS & Dim_Date0 Orphans